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سخنی با مردم عزیز ایران و سیاست پیشگان مسئولیت پذیر در رابطه با پیش بینی

Author:

Javadi, Hossein

Category:

Research Papers

Sub-Category:

Political Sciences

Language:

Persian

Date Published:

March 2, 2025

File:

/Research Papers-Political Sciences/Download/10108

Downloads:

23

Keywords:

پارادایم، مدیریت و پیش بینی، تفاوت رویداد و پدیده

Abstract:

با پیشرفت علم و فناوری و رشد جمعیت، زندگی اجتماعی انسان پیچیده تر شده است. افزایش شگفت انگیز امکانات مصنوعی و کاهش امکانات طبیعی، از جمله آب و هوای سالم تعادل نیازها و امکانات زندگی انسان را به خطر انداخته است. به همین دلیل نیاز انسان به پیش بینی های درست و دقیق رو به افزایش است. بنابراین یکی از معیارهای سنجش موفقیت یا شکست دولت ها بررسی میزان درستی پیش بینی های مستتر در تصمیم گیری های سیاسی، اقتصادی و اجتماعی دولت ها است. از آنجایی که پیش بینی ها در انحصار دولت نیست و نمی تواند باشد. نادیده گرفتن نقدها و توان فکری صاحب نظران، بی اعتنایی به استعدادها و نوآوری های علمی و صنعتی، از عوامل ناکارآمدی دولت و بروز مشکلات است.

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