Author:
Williams, Joel Mann
Category:
Research Papers
Sub-Category:
Climate Studies
Date Published:
June 25, 2015
Abstract:
This article illustrates that, while the rising level of CO2 in the atmosphere from 1900-2015 may fit a 2nd-degree polynomial tightly (R^2=0.99+) relative to time (years), the shot-gun-appearing, annual temperatures for the contiguous US for the same period do not. Neither a linear fit (R^2=0.23) nor a 2nd-degree polynomial fit (R^2=0.27) properly characterizes the annual temperature/time behavior. A running average clearly demonstrates cyclical behavior of the set of annual US temperatures and that these cycles will impinge on the temperature magnitudes expected in the future. The highly alarmist predictions of an upward-turned, 2nd-degree, polynomial into the future are greatly out of sync with these.
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